ami_jeet
ami_jeet
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silchsrer gambling
«on:
10/20/02 at 14:15:29 » |
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silchare nuton ek juar batash boisa tar nam tir.interesting biapar hoilo lagla ek takai 80 taka. bohuta bohutta khoaisa ar kisoe paar.hishab hoilo guess a number between 00-99 ar shillonge je tir khela hoi polo groundo oi khelar resulter loga milla tumi pailai 80 times joto lagaiso naila gulla.ekhon eta shob parat parat viruser moton choraigasa .send ur comments for and against ;) ??? :D |
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ojeen
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Re: silchsrer gambling
«on:
10/21/02 at 02:21:42 » |
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probability of a win= 1/100 = 0.01
expected value of Rs 100 bet = 100 x (1/100) x 80
= 80
Considering memoryless distribution, the more you play, the more you lose. For example, if for a period of time you play 2000 rupees, the expected amount left in your pocket is 1600. :) :)
The odds are pretty awful here .. if you compare with the european roulette, the 1:1 payment expectation are 18/37, which is pretty good as compared to your tir-> 80/100
if you want to donate money like this, send some to me .. don't plat "tir" ;D ;D |
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Ojeener chuto
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Re: silcharer gambling
«on:
10/21/02 at 07:13:48 » |
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Ou buchchi !!!
Australia-th boiya boiya khub juaar upre research chalaitrai nani ??
Ekhon Blackjack, Flush ( teen patti aar ki !), Jhaandi-Munda aar slot machine ( 3 slots ) er probability tain koi deo pliz...te ita khelaar sopnow chari dimu...aar jodi Horse Racing aar Stock Market-er kotha koilaitai paaro, te chuti loiya tumar okhano aaiya tumar podo dhuli loimu ne ;D
All this reminds me of an article I read long back in some Financial magazie (Indian of course !)...probably The Intelligent Investor...khub shundor ek ekta form of gambling er nuances loiya deal koriya onko koriya simple language-e bujhaisil je kuno rokom jua kheliya labhobaan howa jai naa...it also gave valuable insights about how different forms of gambling are carried out...keur oi edition ta thakle ektu janaiyo...was within the last two years, i.e.2000 or 2001 er article ta chapa hoisil... |
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Rupam
Rupam
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Re: silchsrer gambling
«on:
10/25/02 at 10:16:01 » |
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a decisionm tree would drive this point home stronger.
say you have two options.
_____you win----payoff 80
|(p=1/100=0.01)
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_____ play---|
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| |_____yuo lose----payoff 0
-----Re. 1-| (p=99/100=0.99)
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|____ do not play ---------payoff 0
now say you decide to play...then your payoff incase you win is 0.01*80=0.8.
in case you were to lose then your payoff would become 0.99*0=0.
therefore if you decide to play then your aggregate payoff is 0.8+0=0.8.
Now ofthis take out your cost of being a party to the game that is Re. 1.
Thus your net=0.8 - 1.0 =-0.2.
On the other hand if you do not play your payoff is 0.
since -0.2>0, hence the choice here is between losing your money or not losing anything. you still game? |
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